Peterboroughvs
Stevenage
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Peterborough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Stevenage are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80