Peterboroughvs
Sheffield Wednesday
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 30.7% | 25.6% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.4% | 24.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.9% | 49.5% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40