Peterboroughvs
Northampton
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/17/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Peterborough are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Northampton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 51.6-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
79.8%
Model confidence
79.8%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60