GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Peterborough are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Leyton Orient are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

77.1%

Model confidence

77.1%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterboroughLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leyton OrientLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PeterboroughLeyton Orient
75.0Attack44.4
79.2Defence33.3
87.5Form11.1
81.1Power32.9
3.05xG0.84
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