Peterboroughvs
Doncaster
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough 0-2 Doncaster
Original prediction
Doncaster
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 37.5% | 36.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.2% | 27.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 36.3% | 36.3% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00