Peterboroughvs
Crawley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 1/23/2024, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Peterborough are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Crawley Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
65.9%
Model confidence
65.9%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20