GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 2/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Peterborough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cheltenham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 70.0-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 11.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

83.0%

Model confidence

83.0%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterboroughLWLDD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CheltenhamWDWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PeterboroughCheltenham
75.0Attack11.1
79.2Defence0.0
87.5Form0.0
81.1Power11.1
3.45xG0.75
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