Peterboroughvs
Burton Albion
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough 2-2 Burton Albion
Original prediction
Burton Albion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.3% | 32.8% | -17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.2% | 25.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.5% | 41.7% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00