Peterboroughvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/30/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Peterborough are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 51.6-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
78.8%
Model confidence
78.8%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60