Peterboroughvs
Arsenal U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/5/2023, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Peterborough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arsenal U21 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 41.4-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 39.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Peterborough
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.50/2.25