GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/30/2024, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Peterborough are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (81.1 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeterboroughDWWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AFC WimbledonWLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PeterboroughAFC Wimbledon
75.0Attack61.1
79.2Defence61.1
87.5Form55.6
81.1Power59.2
2.22xG1.03
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