England · Professional Development League · 10/21/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield Wednesday U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough United U21 2-2 Sheffield Wednesday U21
Original prediction
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.9% | 39.1% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.7% | 21.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.5% | 39.4% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield Wednesday U21
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Sheffield Wednesday U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60