Peterborough United U21vs
Sheffield United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheffield United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough United U21 0-4 Sheffield United U21
Original prediction
Sheffield United U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.2% | 33.4% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 26.6% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.5% | 40.1% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sheffield United U21
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Sheffield United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20