Peterborough United U21vs
Nottingham Forest U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough United U21 1-5 Nottingham Forest U21
Original prediction
Peterborough United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 27.9% | 38.1% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.7% | 36.6% | -13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough United U21
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Peterborough United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40