Peterborough United U21vs
Fleetwood Town U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough United U21 0-1 Fleetwood Town U21
Original prediction
Peterborough United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.1% | 43.3% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 20.9% | 25.7% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.0% | 30.9% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough United U21
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Peterborough United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60