Peterborough United U21vs
Bristol City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough United U21 3-3 Bristol City U21
Original prediction
Peterborough United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.8% | 45.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 22.9% | 24.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.3% | 30.3% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough United U21
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Peterborough United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00