GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough Sports · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Peterborough Sports 2-2 Redditch United

Original prediction

Peterborough Sports

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9945.1%48.6%3.6 pts
Draw3.5825.1%24.4%-0.7 pts
Away3.0129.8%27.0%-2.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Peterborough Sports

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Peterborough Sports has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peterborough SportsLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Redditch UnitedWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Peterborough SportsRedditch United
54.2Attack41.7
54.2Defence54.2
50.0Form37.5
54.5Power46.6
1.64xG1.08
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