Peterborough Sportsvs
Banbury United
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough Sports · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peterborough Sports 1-3 Banbury United
Original prediction
Peterborough Sports
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.5% | 52.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.8% | 24.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 24.7% | 23.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough Sports
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Peterborough Sports has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40