Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Petare FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Marítimo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marítimo hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60