Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petare FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Petare FC 0-0 Bolívar, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Petare FC 1-2 Bolívar
Original prediction
Petare FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.5% | 43.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.3% | 32.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.2% | 24.0% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Projected Score
Petare FC 0–0 Bolívar
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Petare FC
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Petare FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Petare FCDDWLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BolívarWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Petare FCBolívar
40.0Attack40.0
76.7Defence66.7
63.3Form55.0
61.9Power56.0
0.87xG0.53