GGOALVIO

Pesch logoPeschvsSSV Merten logoSSV Merten

COMPLETED

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/27/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Merten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Pesch are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while SSV Merten are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 66.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while SSV Merten holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Merten

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

SSV Merten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeschWLDLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SSV MertenWLWWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
PeschSSV Merten
57.8Attack84.4
42.2Defence51.1
38.9Form66.7
46.5Power66.7
1.77xG2.96
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