Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Pesch are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.40 conceded, while SF Düren are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 22.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 27 · avg 1.20/5.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00