Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pesch are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Porz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60