Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pesch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hürth are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00