Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Pesch are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00