GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 8/31/2025, 1:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pesch are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Köln II hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pesch

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PeschWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fortuna Köln IILDDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PeschFortuna Köln II
57.8Attack55.2
42.2Defence46.0
38.9Form44.8
46.5Power48.8
2.07xG1.83
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