Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Pesch are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Bornheim are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 15 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40