Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Pesch are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bonner SC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60