Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pescara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pescara 1-0 Spezia, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pescara 1-2 Spezia
Original prediction
Pescara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.6% | 41.3% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 28.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.4% | 29.8% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Projected Score
Pescara 1–0 Spezia
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Pescara
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Pescara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PescaraWDLDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SpeziaWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PescaraSpezia
48.2Attack50.0
69.3Defence50.0
58.8Form50.0
60.4Power50.0
1.39xG0.71