Pescaravs
Ostia Mare
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 10/18/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pescara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pescara 0-0 Ostia Mare, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pescara 2-0 Ostia Mare
Original prediction
Pescara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.4% | 41.4% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.7% | 28.3% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 5.09 | 17.8% | 30.3% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Projected Score
Pescara 0–0 Ostia Mare
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Pescara
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Pescara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PescaraDWLWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Ostia MareDDDWL
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
PescaraOstia Mare
37.5Attack33.3
50.0Defence63.0
37.5Form33.3
44.4Power45.4
0.95xG0.92