Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pescara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pescara 1-0 Gubbio, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pescara 1-1 Gubbio
Original prediction
Pescara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.3% | 57.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 27.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.0% | 15.1% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Pescara 1–0 Gubbio
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Pescara
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Pescara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PescaraLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GubbioWWWLL
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
PescaraGubbio
48.2Attack28.1
69.3Defence63.2
58.8Form42.1
60.4Power47.1
1.19xG0.45