Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perugia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Perugia 0-0 Pineto, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Perugia 2-1 Pineto
Original prediction
Perugia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Perugia 0–0 Pineto
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Perugia
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Perugia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PerugiaDWLDL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PinetoDDLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PerugiaPineto
37.7Attack40.4
64.0Defence57.0
41.2Form50.0
48.9Power51.4
1.03xG0.80