Perugiavs
Ostia Mare
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 8/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perugia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Perugia 0-0 Ostia Mare, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Perugia 1-0 Ostia Mare
Original prediction
Perugia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Perugia 0–0 Ostia Mare
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Perugia
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Perugia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PerugiaLDLDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ostia MareDLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33
BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
PerugiaOstia Mare
37.7Attack50.0
64.0Defence50.0
41.2Form50.0
48.9Power50.0
1.06xG0.87