Perugiavs
Ostia Mare
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone B · 8/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perugia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Perugia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ostia Mare are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 48.9 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone B, favouring Perugia with 15.9% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Perugia
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
15.9%
Perugia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/4.00