Perugia U19vs
Frosinone U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perugia U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Perugia U19 5-0 Frosinone U19
Original prediction
Perugia U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.0% | 57.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.6% | 22.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.4% | 19.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Perugia U19
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Perugia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60