Peru Wvs
Philippines W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philippines W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peru W 0-2 Philippines W
Original prediction
Philippines W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.5% | 35.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.1% | 29.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.4% | 35.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Philippines W
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Philippines W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40