Peru U19vs
Argentina U19
COMPLETEDWorld · South American Youth Games · 9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Argentina U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peru U19 0-1 Argentina U19
Original prediction
Argentina U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.84 | 13.4% | 35.6% | 22.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.1% | 27.5% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 62.5% | 36.9% | -25.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Argentina U19
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Argentina U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00