Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Perth 3-1 Sorrento
Original prediction
Perth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Perth
Probability
78.9%
Model confidence
78.9%
Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PerthWDLDD
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SorrentoDLWLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PerthSorrento
79.4Attack33.3
36.5Defence38.1
55.6Form38.1
58.5Power39.0
3.44xG1.14