Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Perth are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Sorrento are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.5% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Perth
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00