GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 3/18/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Perth are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Perth RedStar are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 58.5 against 56.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Perth

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PerthWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Perth RedStarWDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
PerthPerth RedStar
79.4Attack49.2
36.5Defence54.0
55.6Form60.3
58.5Power56.7
2.43xG1.77
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