GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 4/1/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Perth are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cockburn City are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.1% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Perth

Probability

76.1%

Model confidence

76.1%

Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PerthWDWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Cockburn CityWLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
PerthCockburn City
79.4Attack37.9
36.5Defence31.8
55.6Form36.4
58.5Power38.1
3.80xG1.29
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