Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Perth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Perth are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Armadale are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Perth
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
7.4%
Perth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20