GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 3/25/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Perth RedStar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Perth RedStar are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Stirling Lions are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth RedStar hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth RedStar holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Perth RedStar

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Perth RedStar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Perth RedStarDWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
Stirling LionsWLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Perth RedStarStirling Lions
49.2Attack58.7
54.0Defence41.3
60.3Form42.9
56.7Power48.7
1.98xG1.49
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