GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 4/8/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Perth RedStar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Perth RedStar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Floreat Athena are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth RedStar hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth RedStar holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Perth RedStar

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Perth RedStar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Perth RedStarWLDWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Floreat AthenaWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Perth RedStarFloreat Athena
49.2Attack43.9
54.0Defence48.5
60.3Form40.9
56.7Power46.0
1.75xG1.10
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