GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 3/25/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Perth Glory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Perth Glory II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Armadale are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth Glory II hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth Glory II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Perth Glory II

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

54.2%

Perth Glory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Perth Glory IIWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
ArmadaleWWWW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Perth Glory IIArmadale
65.1Attack63.5
31.7Defence17.5
33.3Form33.3
44.5Power38.9
3.61xG2.42
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