Persitavs
Garudayaksa
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/10/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persita 2-1 Garudayaksa
Original prediction
Persita
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.2% | 45.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 26.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 27.5% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Persita
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Persita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PersitaDWDLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
GarudayaksaDLDDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PersitaGarudayaksa
66.7Attack22.2
44.4Defence55.6
55.6Form22.2
59.1Power36.4
1.74xG1.07