Persitavs
Bali United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 1 · 10/25/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bali United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persita 1-1 Bali United
Original prediction
Bali United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.9% | 31.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 24.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.5% | 43.5% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Bali United
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Bali United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20