GGOALVIO

Indonesia · Piala Presiden · 8/3/2024, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Persis Solo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Persis Solo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Persija Jakarta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Persis Solo hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Piala Presiden, while Persis Solo holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Persis Solo

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Persis Solo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Persis SoloLWDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Persija JakartaLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Persis SoloPersija Jakarta
26.7Attack33.3
60.0Defence40.0
46.7Form26.7
47.6Power36.3
1.36xG0.96
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