Persiraja Banda Acehvs
Sumsel United
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/2/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persiraja Banda Aceh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persiraja Banda Aceh 1-2 Sumsel United
Original prediction
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 72.7% | 47.5% | -25.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.15 | 17.4% | 25.1% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 9.02 | 9.9% | 27.3% | 17.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Persiraja Banda Aceh
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Persiraja Banda Aceh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80