Persipura Jayapuravs
Tornado Pekanbaru
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/18/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persipura Jayapura · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persipura Jayapura 0-0 Tornado Pekanbaru
Original prediction
Persipura Jayapura
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.4% | 39.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.2% | 28.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 27.4% | 31.7% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Persipura Jayapura
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Persipura Jayapura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00