Persipura Jayapuravs
RANS Nusantara
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/9/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persipura Jayapura · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Persipura Jayapura 1-3 RANS Nusantara
Original prediction
Persipura Jayapura
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 52.9% | 40.7% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.2% | 28.2% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 20.9% | 31.1% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Persipura Jayapura
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Persipura Jayapura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60